Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.016593 0.019351 0.022399 0.026013 0.030178 0.034824 0.040396
2025-11-16 0.012230 0.015728 0.019957 0.025433 0.032322 0.040685 0.051592
2025-11-23 0.009213 0.012907 0.017739 0.024490 0.033646 0.045591 0.062314
2025-11-30 0.007745 0.011693 0.017222 0.025473 0.037406 0.053959 0.078564
2025-12-07 0.006375 0.010302 0.016152 0.025414 0.039603 0.060387 0.092962
2025-12-14 0.005153 0.008869 0.014728 0.024523 0.040339 0.064678 0.104698
2025-12-21 0.004338 0.007909 0.013841 0.024260 0.041901 0.070284 0.118996
2025-12-28 0.003962 0.007608 0.013953 0.025598 0.046162 0.080572 0.141895
2026-01-04 0.003548 0.007157 0.013723 0.026285 0.049367 0.089436 0.163407
2026-01-11 0.003012 0.006380 0.012780 0.025534 0.049897 0.093733 0.177477
2026-01-18 0.002627 0.005827 0.012161 0.025277 0.051253 0.099574 0.194861
2026-01-25 0.002236 0.005190 0.011278 0.024366 0.051218 0.102813 0.207732
2026-02-01 0.001921 0.004668 0.010561 0.023713 0.051658 0.107106 0.223334
2026-02-08 0.001702 0.004318 0.010150 0.023636 0.053257 0.113829 0.244469
2026-02-15 0.001470 0.003896 0.009517 0.022981 0.053544 0.117942 0.260803
2026-02-22 0.001384 0.003813 0.009636 0.024024 0.057647 0.130373 0.295735
2026-03-01 0.001243 0.003564 0.009326 0.024028 0.059416 0.138039 0.321352
2026-03-08 0.001075 0.003213 0.008712 0.023212 0.059184 0.141302 0.337693
2026-03-15 0.000959 0.002980 0.008357 0.022977 0.060288 0.147656 0.361611
2026-03-22 0.000925 0.002972 0.008584 0.024255 0.065245 0.163358 0.408599
2026-03-29 0.000866 0.002881 0.008574 0.024912 0.068725 0.175961 0.449618
2026-04-05 0.000761 0.002630 0.008082 0.024201 0.068601 0.179910 0.470341
2026-04-12 0.000685 0.002454 0.007777 0.023957 0.069675 0.186897 0.499209